Scenario Planning

Open enrolment and in-house options available

Our Scenario Planning program offers a structured approach to exploring alternate futures and analysing their potential impact on one’s organisation. The course begins with guidance on how to identify and analyse the trends that are likely to shape your market or operating environment. You will then be shown how to use these trends to construct plausible narratives of potential futures, and develop the necessary contingencies, strategies or action plans to meet them with confidence.

Course Outline

Identifying Strategic Trends

Introduction to Scenario Planning

  • A brief history of scenario planning
  • Benefits and limitations
  • Scenario thinking vs. scenario planning
  • The varieties of scenarios

Scanning for Strategic Trends

  • Identifying and prioritising strategic trends
  • Mapping drivers and potential impacts
  • Causal mapping
  • Identifying critical uncertainties

Developing Scenarios

Developing Scenarios

  • The Three Futures calibration model
  • Working with consequence radars
  • Working with scenario archetypes
  • The Intuitive Logics approach
  • Anticipating stakeholder actions / reactions

Reporting Scenarios

  • The elements of effective storytelling
  • Structuring your scenario reports
  • Drafting scenario narratives
  • Alternative scenario communication strategies


From Scenarios to Strategies

Translating Scenarios into Strategies

  • From analytic insights to strategic objectives
  • Identifying and analysing strategic options
  • Identifying strategic opportunities
  • Evaluating strategic fit
  • Developing contingencies
  • Action planning
  • Means-Ends Analysis
  • The Plan–Do–Check–Act model
  • Resource planning
  • Implementing your strategy

Course Details

Who is this Course For?

This course is intended for experienced analysts, as well as for those working in the domains of horizon scanning, strategic analysis, risk management, and crisis management and response.

How You Benefit

On completion of this course you will have the ability to:

  • Apply a broad range of scenario-based models and frameworks
  • Identify, analyse and monitor those trends that are likely to impact your work
  • Imagine and explore multiple futures and their consequences
  • Select a desired future and the steps needed to realise it
  • Define contingency and action plans in preparation for an uncertain future

What You Receive

  • A full set of course slides in PDF
  • An index of analytic techniques
  • Templates to support the application of the techniques taught
  • Six months of post-course support

Course Prerequisites

We recommend that participants first complete our Strategic Foresight course before undertaking this program.

Course Requirements

Please bring a Windows or Mac laptop with you. Please also ensure you have a Gmail account to access the course materials.