Intelligence Analysis: Foundations
Our introductory course to intelligence analysis offers a solid introduction to the art and science of analytic reasoning. The course provides the foundational knowledge you need to establish and grow your analytic toolkit. Attention is given to descriptive and predictive modes of analysis, and the complimentary skills of trend identification, pattern detection, evidential reasoning, and ideation. You will also learn how to identify and explore multiple lines of analytic enquiry, including via the Analysis of Competing Hypothesis. The guidance provided on this course offers an essential prelude to our more advanced programs.
Course Outline
Thinking and Reasoning
Introduction to Intelligence Analysis
- What is analysis?
- The three modes of analytic reasoning
- The challenge of analysis
- The role of the analyst
- The critical disciplines of analytic work
Analytic Thinking and Reasoning Skills
- Critical, creative and conceptual thinking
- Sensemaking and calibration
- Identifying trends, patterns and relationships
- Evidential reasoning
- Scoping and managing your uncertainty
- Measuring and monitoring your thinking
- Working with structured analytic techniques
Ideation through Brainstorming
- What is brainstorming
- The varieties of brainstorming
- The dos and don’ts of brainstorming
- Brainstorming techniques
Ideation through Mind and Concept Mapping
- Types of mind / concept maps
- The uses of mind mapping in intelligence
- Individual vs. group application
Descriptive Analysis
Descriptive Analytic Techniques
- The 5W1H model
- Causal mapping
- Force field analysis
- Actor / factor analysis
- Temporal analysis
- Link / association charting
Applications of Descriptive Analysis
- Issue analysis
- Trend analysis
- Event analysis
Predictive Analysis
Working with Hypotheses
- What makes a good hypothesis?
- Multiple hypotheses generation
- Analysis of Competing Hypotheses (ACH)
- Variations of ACH
Predictive Analytic Techniques
- What if analysis
- Trend / impact analysis
- Impact / probability analysis
- The futures wheel
- Consequence trees
Applications of Predictive Analysis
- Risk analysis
- Alternative futures analysis
- Operational planning
Course Details
Who is this Course For?
This course is for anyone working in an analytic role, regardless of professional background or prior work experience.
How You Benefit
On completion of this course you will have the ability to:
- Justify the importance of structured approaches to analytic thinking
- Apply a range of critical and creative thinking skills
- Make your reasoning transparent to others
- Develop causal narratives using descriptive analytic techniques
- Analyse events and trends and extrapolate their impacts
- Generate and evaluate multiple hypotheses
- Anticipate future outcomes using predictive analytic techniques
What You Receive
- A full set of course slides in PDF
- An index of analytic techniques
- Templates to support the application of the techniques taught
- Six months of post-course support
Course Prerequisites
No prior knowledge of intelligence analysis or analytic reasoning is needed to take this course. We recommend this course as an essential starting point for all our analysis programs.
Course Requirements
Please bring a Windows or Mac laptop with you. Please also ensure you have a Gmail account to access the course materials.